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Time to cool it? (your tea that is)

As a tea-drinking Brit I was fascinated by a study about tea drinking in Northern Iran concluding that drinking very hot tea is strongly associated with higher risk of oesophageal cancer.

Digging in further, I was struck by a number of points:

  • The article I first noticed, by Karen Kaplan of the Los Angeles Times, was very clearly written and didn’t mangle the facts or interpretations. Such clarity is unusual and deserves a commendation. Read the article for the details – I don’t need to repeat.
  • The scale of the study was unusually large compared with many medical studies, including some that draw dubious conclusions from a very small data set. The research team (from England, France, Sweden and the U.S.) matched 300 cancer patients with 571 healthy controls who had similar demographics. These groups are only a small fraction of the entire database of nearly 50,000 people in Golestan province whose tea drinking habits have been studied, so we can expect future refinement and expansion of results.
  • The original article in the BMJ (formerly the British Medical Journal), BMJ 2009;338:b929, is a well-written source document, complete with properly explained tables and a video.

This is a good example of a well researched and reported project. The results are made available under an open access Collective Commons License, that doubtless encourages completeness.

After evaluating the details, I decided to review my own tea and coffee rituals. The study concluded that the most likely causal mechanism is the temperature, so regardless of what hot liquid you drink it might be a good to be cautious about temperature. I don’t drink anywhere near the quantity of hot liquids that the study participants imbibe daily (nearly 1.2 liters on average – that’s over 2.1 British pints or 2.5 U.S. pints), but the damage may be cumulative and I want to be a tea drinker for many more years. It seems that my latte drinks are cool enough, but I should probably wait for a few minutes after brewing to drink my tea at around 140 degrees Fahrenheit. Perhaps I’ll start to put the tea cosy on after the first cup, but I don’t think I can bring myself to stop warming the teapot. My wife is the smart one – she’s always preferred to cool down her tea with water from the tap.

Idiosyncratically,
Mike Pritchard

Filed Under: Methodology, Reporting, Statistics

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5 Circles Research has been a terrific research partner for our company. Mike combines a wealth of experience in research methodology and analytics with a truly strategic perspective – it’s a unique combination that has helped our company uncover important insights to drive business decisions.
Daniel WiserBrand ManagerAttune Foods Inc.
Many thanks to you for the very helpful presentation on pricing last night. I found it extremely useful and insightful. Well worth the drive down from Bellingham!
G.FarkasCEOTsuga Engineering
You know how your mechanic knows what’s wrong with your car when you just tell them what it sounds like over the phone? Well, my first conversation with Mike was like that — in like 10 seconds, he gave me an insight into my market research that was something I’d been struggling trying to figure out. A class like this will help you learn what you can do on your own. And, you’ll have a better idea of what a research vendor can do for you.
Roy LebanFounder and CTOPuzzazz
Since becoming our contracted consultant for market research services in 2010, 5 Circles Research has revolutionized our annual survey of consumer opinion in Washington. Through the restructuring of survey methodology and the application of new analytical tools, they have provided insights that are both wider in their scope and deeper in their relevance for understanding consumer values and behavior. As a result, the survey has increased its significance as a planning and evaluation tool for our entire state agency. 5 Circles does great work!
Blair ThompsonDirector of Consumer CommunicationsWashington Dairy Products Commission
I hired Mike to develop, execute and report on a market research project involving a potential business opportunity. I was impressed with his ability to learn the industry and subsequently develop a framework for the market research project. He was able to execute the research and collect data efficiently and effectively. Throughout the project, he kept me abreast of the progress to allow for any adjustments as needed. The quality and quantitative output of the results exceeded my expectations and provided me with more confidence in the direction of the business opportunity.
Mike ClaudioVice President Marketing and Business DevelopmentWizard InternationalSeattle
Mike brings a tremendous balance of theoretical marketing research with a strong practical knowledge of marketing. He can tailor the research to the right level for your project. I have hired Mike multiple times and he has delivered each time. I would hire him again.
Rick DenkerPresidentPacket Plus
Every conversation with Mike gave me new insight and useful marketing ideas. 5 Circles’s report was invaluable in deciding on the viability of our new product idea.
Greg HowePresidentCD ROM Library, Inc.
I have come to know both Mike and Stefan as creative, thoughtful, and very diligent research consultants. They were always willing to go further to make sure respondents remained engaged and any research results were applicable and of immediate use to us here at Bellevue CE. They were partners and thought leaders on the project. I am happy to recommend them to any public sector client.
Radhika Seshan, Ph.DRadhika Seshan, Ph.D, Executive Director of Programs Continuing Education Bellevue College
First, I thought it was near impossible to obtain good market information without a large scale, complex market study. Working with 5 Circle Research changed that. We were able to put together a comprehensive survey that provided essential information the company was looking for. It started with general questions gradually evolving to specifics in a fast pace, fun to take questionnaire. Introducing “a new way of doing things” like Revollex’ induction heating-susceptor technology can be challenging. The results provided critical data to help understand the market demand. High quality work, regard for schedule, thorough understanding of the issues are just a few aspects of an overall exceptional experience.
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